Elias Ymer vs Aslan Karatsev Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Ymer has been slightly superior in recent second serve performance, securing 48.23% of points compared to Karatsev's 44.81%. Could this give Ymer a marginal edge in the upcoming match?
• In return game statistics, Ymer also has a slight advantage, winning 49.43% of opponents' second-serve points, while Karatsev manages 48.63%.
• Karatsev, however, holds a minor advantage in first serve returns at 25.08%, marginally ahead of Ymer’s 24.49%.
• Under pressure situations, Ymer successfully saved 56.07% of breakpoints, while Karatsev managed to save 50.56% of them, suggesting Ymer might perform better in critical match moments.
• While Ymer has a slightly higher win percentage in matches over the past year at 54.39%, Karatsev is close behind with 52.94%.
• Ymer's best surface is Clay with a 60% win rate, while Karatsev excels on Hard courts with a 63% win rate. Could the court surface influence the match's outcome?
• When it comes to performance against high-quality opponents, Karatsev faces stronger competition with an average opponent ranking of 215.73 compared to Ymer's average of 263.26.
• Direct head-to-head history favors Ymer, who won their only encounter which took place on a Hard surface at the Tata Open in Pune.
• In deciding sets, Ymer is 10% more successful, winning 48% over the last 12 months versus Karatsev's 38% win rate.
• Their lone tiebreak encounter concluded in Ymer’s favor, indicating a psychological advantage in high-pressure situations.
• Karatsev holds a bit of an edge in breakpoint conversion at 34.86%, while Ymer converts 31.51% of his opportunities.

Editorial Prediction (May 8, 2025, UTC):

The head-to-head statistics offer intriguing insights into the competition between Elias Ymer and Aslan Karatsev. Ymer's superior performance in second serve and return game statistics suggests an edge in breaking his opponent's service games.

Under pressure, Ymer appears more resilient, successfully saving a higher percentage of breakpoints. This characteristic may prove crucial if the match features close games and tiebreaks.

An important factor is Karatsev's stronger background against higher-ranked opponents, which indicates a higher adaptability and experience level, especially on Hard courts, his preferred surface.

Nonetheless, Ymer’s proven success in their previous head-to-head encounter and his efficient tiebreak performance suggests a psychological and strategic advantage. However, Karatsev's ability to face tougher competition, combined with his slight lead on first-serve return statistics, balances the equation.

On balance, considering all key statistics and recent performances, Elias Ymer emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming match. However, Karatsev’s strengths should not be underestimated, potentially setting the stage for a highly competitive battle.